然而，这种表面的平静下潜藏着更大的暗流。当前真正的“灰犀牛”，并非地缘冲突本身，而是其可能引发的货币政策剧变。倘若油价因供应中断而持续高企，将进一步固化美国的通胀压力，迫使美联储暂停甚至逆转降息进程。
Amanda Silberling
，这一点在PDF资料中也有详细论述
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Outwardly, Friedmann’s life had never been better: he had finally settled down, and he’d earned his place as one of America’s foremost criminal-justice activists. Yet Marone noticed that his friend was increasingly agitated, at times claiming that the government was after him. “He believed that, at any time, they were going to get him,” Marone told me.